Food and Agriculture Organization or FAO has released updated forecasts for global cereal markets. World cereal production is expected to rise by 4.4 percent in 2025 to reach 2990 million tonnes, a new record level, with foreseen output increases across all major cereals, it noted. The new Cereal Supply and Demand Brief also forecast world cereal utilization in 2025/26 to increase by 1.8 percent from the previous year to 2 929 million tonnes, due mainly to ample supplies and lower prices. Feed use of cereals is expected to rise at a faster pace.

Based on the updated forecasts, global cereal stocks are predicted to expand by 5.7 percent to a record high of 916.3 million tonnes. The resulting global cereal stocks-to-use ratio in 2025/26 is predicted to rise to 31.1 percent, the highest level since 2017/18. FAO’s updated forecast for world trade in cereals in the 2025/26 season points to a 3.2 percent increase to 499.5 million tonnes. International wheat trade is expected to grow robustly, driven largely by higher imports from Asia, while global rice trade is forecast to decline slightly.

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